LA Rams +7 Underdogs in NFC Divisional Round

LA Rams

The Los Angeles Rams are keeping California teams in contention for Super Bowl 55. The Rams’ defense put on a ridiculously fantastic display against Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks on Saturday. Jalen Ramsey, for all intents and purposes, shut out DK Metcalf and stopped any meaningful plays from happening until the game was already over.

Cam Akers showed exactly why he was so highly touted out of the draft as he was a one-man offense for much of the game. Luckily for the Rams, Seattle’s defense was so putrid that Jared Goff and his one thumb were able to still put up a decent amount of points. It also helped that the defense stepped up and scored a touchdown itself in the game.

The Rams now move on to Green Bay, a team with a similar gameplan as the Seahawks but a much better passing defense. The Packers want to air it out and then set up big runs for Aaron Jones.

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers

los angeles rams
Spread: +7 LAR
Total Points: 46
Moneyline: +280 LAR | -335 GB

The Los Angeles Rams have another tough test with the Green Bay Packers, but taking this touchdown underdog does not seem like a bad bet with how great the defense has played. Aaron Donald is a bit banged up but should be out there. After him, by far, the most important player is Jalen Ramsey. Ramsey will have the duty of stopping this year’s best wide receiver Devante Adams. If Ramsey can once again show up and shut down the opposing team’s number one WR, then it is hard to see how the Packers put up points in this game.

On top of the elite Rams’ defense, the Rams have another thing going for them: the run game. While the Packers are a great passing defense, the team has really had issues stopping the run, which then unlocks their secondary to be hit on the deep ball. Cam Akers has been the strength of the Rams’ offense, which means that the matchup is there. The strength for the Rams on offense, running and play-action, is the weakness for the Packers.

On top of the +7 spread, I actually believe that +280 is fantastic value on the moneyline; this game is going to be much closer than I think Vegas is giving it credit for. Really, the only thing that needs to happen is Jalen Ramsey winning his matchup against Adams, and I can see a clear path to victory for the Rams. While I am still favoring the Packers, I think that +280 is very hard to pass up.

The way that the Packers win and dominate the game is most likely with exposing the linebacking play of the Rams, which has improved but is still not great. Getting Robert Tonyan and Aaron Jones the ball a lot in this game is probably the play for Rodgers and LaFleur, but that does not equate to a victory. Adams is still the playmaker, and the defense will have to stop Cam Akers.

I do not believe that the over/under really has value either way. I project a low-scoring affair, but garbage time can easily hit the over as we saw with the Seahawks and Rams game in the Wild Card matchup. Therefore, I am probably off of the total points bet for this game.